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george allen by just two windows. with races all tied up in places like nevada, arizona and montana, north dakota, wisconsin and connecticut, it could be a nail-biter on tuesday night. >>> and it will be a nail-biter waiting for the presidential election results. we're two days out and experts are predicting a very long election night. the president's senior advisory says mr. obama and mr. romney are in neck, so he expects tallying of voting results to go well into the morning. a poll has the president just one point ahead of romney, 48% to 47%. and for a look at what states could make all the difference in the outcome... >> reporter: california almost certain to vote for president obama. voters in the red states almost certain to go for governor romney. arizona and north carolina leaning romney. new mexico, minnesota and pennsylvania are leaning obama. so what do you have left? true toss-up states, we will color them yellow. nevada, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, ohio, virginia, new hampshire, and florida. and check out how close the latest polling numbers are in the yellow swing late.
that had large hispanic populations. like nevada, like colorado, like florida. so i think they should be very worried when it comes to these battleground states, and even in ohio, where you have 166,000 registered latino voters going out to the polls, and an election this tight, they could absolutely be the deciding factor. i think it's going to be the october surprise of this election. >> i thought we already had one of those. >> early november. >> let me ask you, because we were asking our viewers before the break, if you could run the campaign in the last three days, what would you do if you have the reins of the campaign. if you were in charge of the romney campaign, anna, what would you do at this point? >> i think exactly what they are doing. they're having big rallies. showing a great deal of republican unity. they're showing a great deal of momentum. they've got over a hundred of the top republican surrogates out there fanning around the country, going to the swing states. so you've got to get your base out at this point. pretty mu there are very few undecided that are left. i
of the hour we'll take you to nevada and wisconsin. first, back to sole dad. >>> at the end of the day, it's all going to be about the math. in order to win, you have to hit the magic number of 270 electoral votes. let's get to christine romans who is crunching the numbers. >> the rose to 270. what if it were a draw at 269? it's possible. there are four 269 scenarios. statistically, there are 120 different scenarios. four with the swing states. this is hypothetical, remember. the map is assuming that states that are actually leaning go in the direction that they're leaning right now. wisconsin, ohio, and new hampshire, new hampshire with the four electoral votes, if they go for obama and romney wins nevada, colorado, iowa, virginia, and the 29 over there in florida, then you're at a tie. worst nightmare for both parties. 269 each. now a note for iowa here, this is assuming it goes red, it goes for romney with the six electoral votes. recent polls there showing a slight lead, actually, for obama. if wisconsin and ohio vote democrat, you know, technically you could think -- you could conclud
, turnout is crucial. >> turnout has been crucial for three weeks. in other words, in colorado, nevada, north carolina, it may have been crucial before today, but on election day, as nancy mentioned in her piece, republicans have to turn their base out. >> stay with us, we'll be speaking with both campaigns this morning. we begin with david axelrod. david, good morning. >> good morning, charlie. happy election day. >> well, thank you. happy election day to you and everybody else in the great state of illinois. so tell me what it is that's most crucial today for you to win. >> well, you've been using the word, which is turnout. we've been expecting a close election for a year and a half. we've built a tremendous organization. we've got 200,000 or more election shifts volunteers set up. we've got 5,000 stations in neighborhoods across the battleground states. and now it's time to turn out that vote. and that's what this election is going to be about. we are happy about those early vote numbers. those early vote numbers are very significant. we go in with a great advantage. >> one thing t
marquez is in las vegas, nevada. ed lavandera is in denver, colorado, for us this morning. john zarrella comes to us live from plantation, florida. we want to begin with complete comprehensive coverage with john berman checking in to see how our correspondents are faring. >> thanks, soledad. the candidates are all over the place today. president obama and mitt romney hold atriallies in seven states today. a final frenetic day of campaigning across the battleground. for the president, he begins in wisconsin, a state that has voted true blue since 1984 but it is almost always close. and with paul ryan a native wisconsin son on the republican ticket, the obama team is taking no chances. they've called in the cavalry to help, including the boss, bruce springsteen to seal the deal. dan lothian is live in madison, wisconsin. good morning, dan. >> good morning, and you're right, bruce springsteen will be warming up the crowd here with a 30-minute concert before the president comes out. the campaign has been using these big names not only to draw in big audiences, but also to energize them. i ca
nevada, those four states, romney could win with pennsylvania and then the other swing states. >> virginia -- >> and florida. it's not his best -- it's not where he would want to be at this point in the campaign. but looking at where the polls have been in ohio all year, i think they think it's worth a shot. >> you think it makes a difference on the last day, the day people are voting for a candidate to show up in pennsylvania and ohio? >> here's the thing about that. in those other states, early voting is well under way and most of each sides' votes have already been banked. pennsylvania doesn't have a big early voting program. so everyone that's going to vote in pennsylvania is going to vote on tuesday. so he might think, maybe this is my chance, i have a captive audience there because obama hasn't been there much. and i've got more votes that are available to me in pennsylvania. >> we're all spending so much time thinking about ohio. but is there another state you're looking at closely right now? >> the thing i'm looking at is some of these states where hispanics are a risi
, in virginia, even in ohio what they saw as a lead or slight lead now has slipped. novemb nevada off the table. it's changed this race. charlie and norah? >> political director john dickerson and national journal white house correspondent major garrett have been with us throughout this campaign. welcome. >> good to be with you. >> an exciting race. >> indeed, it is. >> let me start with john. what's the pathway, possible pathway for governor romney? >> well, let's start context. if we look at the map and we assign those states that are red states and blue states to the two candidates, president obama starts with 237. romney starts with 191. the president's already got a head start. and that means that if you look at all the possible scenarios, president obama has about 431 ways he can get to 270. mitt romney had just 76. let's look at mitt romney. the best possible scenario for him is that he wins florida. we'll give florida to him. then we'll give him the other big one, ohio. 18 electoral votes. then 15 in north carolina. let's give him 13 in virginia. still not there yet. 266. this gives you
like a good deal of sunshine. now in the battleground states on election day, nevada into colorado look at that nice sunshine there. 83 vegas, 16 in denver. western iowa looks fine. in dubuque looks wet and chilly. around 40 ohio. no excuses there for voting. same in new hampshire. it will be cold in 30s and 40s, wilmington and asheville and even charlotte may be looking at rain before the day is over. in western florida the weather looks good, jacksonville down to orlando. wet showers and thunderstorms on election day. 52 today, tonight 20s and 30s. tomorrow around 30 on election day. wednesday nor'easter, 45. there is potential, not saying it is set in stone, but want you to be aware that late wednesday night we may get wintry weather we'll have to deal with. look at this, we are going to warm up nicely. we should be back well into the 60s. the heart walk saturday morning, looking forward to that. monika, time save traffic? >>> traffic moving really well this morning. traffic is good on the beltway, we are going to zoom in on the northbound side from triangle all lanes are open. in fa
battleground state, florida, nevada and colorado. if he can do well enough in those states with the latino voters, he could pull off a victory. he could also do it if he gets at least 30% of latino voters. right now it unclear. >> t.j. winick, thank you. stay with abc7 news for complete election day coverage. we'll bring live updates throughout the night, including reporters mark matthews at obama headquarters chicago and laura anthony at romney headquarters in boston. get real-time results on abc7news.com the moment the polls close at 8 p.m., live updates all night at facebook.com/abc7news and through twitter. >> officials in new york and new jersey believe they will be able to get everybody to the polls tomorrow, even in the areas ravaged by superstorm sandy. thousands will have to cast ballots outside of their neighborhoods. tens of thousands are camping outside their homes in 30° weather. they will be forced to seek shelter by wednesday when a new storm is predicted to hit. many schools reopened today, commuters are still crowding on to transit systems, slowly coming back online and p
on the campaign trail. he will visit wisconsin, nevada and colorado today. governor mitt romney is in virginia, after campaign iing i florida on wednesday. jan crawford filed this report this morning as the romney campaign headed north. >> to say that the hurricane threw a wrench in the presidential election is really an under dstatement. think about it. less than a week to go, the race this tight. both sides suspending campaigning and romney yesterday back on the campaign trail but muting his attacks on the president. and the president yesterday getting to do something romney could not. act as comforter in chief. >> we're going to help you get it all together. i promise, you're going to be okay. >> reporter: he met with victims and officials, reassuring that the government will be there to help. >> we're going to get this whole thing -- we're going to get this whole thing set up. >> reporter: at his side republican governor chris christie, a romney supporter. to show he was moving beyond partisan politics. >> he has been aggressive in making sure that the state got out in front of this incred
on the campaign trail. he'll visit wisconsin, nevada and colorado today and governor mitt romney heads to virginia after campaigning in florida on wednesday. jan crawford is covering the romney campaign in jacksonville. jan, good morning. >> reporter: good morning, norah, good morning, charlie. to say that the hurricane threw a wrench in the presidential campaign is an understatement. both sides suspending campaigning. mitt romney muting his attacks on the president. the president yesterday getting to do something romney could not. act as comforter in chief. >> i'm going to help you get it all together. i promise. i promise. >> reporter: as the president tour storm-ravaged areas of new jersey he met with victims and officials, reassuring them the government would be there to help. >> everybody safe? that's the most important thing then we'll get this whole thing set up. >> reporter: apartment his side was new jersey republican governor chris christie, a mitt romney supporter. recognizing christie for his leadership the president sought to show he was moving beyond partisan politics. >> he's been a
's grocery store in northern california and nevada. the walkout began after contract talks broke off yesterday. the issue, there are many, medical benefits, elimination of premium pay for working sundays a proposed pay freeze. >> okay with the freeze. we just want to keep what we have and keep the medical that we have with the union but they want to take that away. basically when we retired they probably -- we would have no medical. >> raley's says it needs to cut costs because of a growing number of stores selling groceries now. this is the first strike in its 77-year history. >>> encouraging news for drivers. prices at the pump have been dropping steadily over the past couple of weeks. the lundberg survey says prices dropped 21 cents since mid- october alone. the national average for a gallon of regular is now 3.55. however, in california, as we all know, a little higher, $3.98. and san francisco still holding the distinction for the nation's highest gas prices, $4.05 for a gallon here in the city. >> that's a distinction we don't want. >> no. we have had it for quite a while. >> n
, wisconsin, colorado, nevada. the white house says the president will be briefed on details of the federal response to sandy, a day after he witnessed the devastation and promised to cut through all the red tape. mitt romney makes several campaign stops today in the swing state of virginia. >>> and there is more evidence at just how close this presidential race really is. a "wall street journal"/nbc news/marist poll of three bat e battleground state shows president obama with a six-point lead over mitt romney in iowa, a three-point lead in wisconsin, and a two-point lead in new hampshire. just five days left. >> it is so interesting to watch this as we get to that deadline. it's so fascinating. john, thank you very much. >>> back to our "starting point" this morning, it's day three of that fallout from superstorm sandy. millions of people without power in their homes. and as john mentioned, they're literally trying to pick up the pieces that remain from their homes, the pieces of their lives. yesterday the president and governor chris christie of new jersey toured the destruction on the j
that iowa and nevada are more or less won. early vote and demographic advantages they built and ground game advantages. you put those three together that's done they also believe they have a very good chance in new hampshire. a senior obama adviser said new hampshire is like chinatown for jake guinness. we feel about it but it leaves us a bit squeamish. >> let's talk about ohio because that has been the focus of so much of our attention ohio. it looks like that state is trending towards president obama. is that why we saw governor romney make a play for wisconsin, for pennsylvania, even men they were in over the weekend campaigning trying to enlarge the electoral map for romney? >> even if romney wins florida as we went through there, if he done win ohio he's got pind the votes somewhere else. if he loses ohio the paths they shrink down the single digits for governor romney. to increase his chances to get to 270 he has to find another state and they are looking for other states. pennsylvania, 96% of the vote happens on election day. not like when these early voting states. so, it's a razzle
, colorado and nevada, all on saturday. [ speaking in a foreign language ] >> reporter: in florida the romney campaign quietly launched a new spanish language tv ad that links president obama to venezuela leader hugo chavez and castro. the ad appeared to be aimed at driving pro-romney cuban supporters who largely support the president. in ohio romney is still running ads accusing the president of sending jobs of bailed out car companies gm and chrysler to foreign. nowhere in the ads does it mention romney opposed the auto bailout. gm officials blasted the spot to a detroit newspaper saying no amount of campaign politics at its cynical worst will diminish our record of creating jobs in the u.s. and repate rating properties back to this country. polls receiving high marks for his handling of superstorm sandy, it's unclear how much the race has changed. hoping to recapture the momentum he had before the storm, romney recycled a line of attack he used presandy. >> he's been out talking about how he's going to save big bird and then playing silly word games with my last name, or first. and then at
listed all the important states, florida, colorado, nevada. but here in ohio, this is the biggest, the most important of the battleground states. the president was here yesterday, made three stops making two stops here. we'll return here again. and the message that the president keeps hammering away on here is how he pushed for the auto bailout. why is that so important? because so many jobs in ohio are tied to the auto industry. they believe this is a message that resonates with voters here. so we expect for the president to continue pushing that theme as he makes his remarks here in ohio again this morning. we're told there is an overthrow crowd and the president is making some remarks to them. they will be coming out here to speak later on. >> all right. dan, thanks so much. of course, we'll take that event as soon as the president does finish up with the overflow crowd and then making his way into that arena in mentor, ohio. >>> the president's opponent mitt romney is having a very busy final weekend of his own campaigning before the election. he is in new hampshire, iowa and
games. these early vote totals more than 70% of the votes are in the states of colorado and nevada. almost 40% in the state of iowa have voted right now. the president has been working at this for more than two years. governor romney modeling his ground game on the successful of george w. bush's ground game. both sides have invested a lot and have gotten it oa lot of it. >> secretary of state in ohio said that they view the candidates as house guests as they're eager to see leave. >>> later this morning, george stephanopoulos will be hosting the final edition of "this week" before the election. and on tuesday night, george, diane sawyer and the entire abc news political team will be at our election headquarters in times square all night long, it could be a long night as results come in. >> you can feel the excitement leading up to tuesday. >>> but believe it or not, there are other headlines to tell you about and ron claiborne is here for that. >>> two police officers in atlanta were killed in a helicopter crash last night while searching for a missing child. the helicopter went do
in the early vote in several of them, including ohio, iowa, nevada, we've got a lead in colorado. we feel very good about where we are. >> david axelrod joining us this morning. thanks for being with us. we appreciate your time. >> thank you. >> you want to be sure to watch the rest of our cnn election team tonight when the first polls close at 6:00 p.m. eastern. you can follow the exact countdown in the lower left-hand side of your screen and as the clock ticks for those closing. there are other stories making news this morning. zoraida's got that for you. >> good morning. another key race to watch today former presidential candidate michele bachmann in the toughest battle of her political life. minnesota congresswoman is in a tight race with democratic challenger jim graves. in their final debate, bachmann defended her claims that muslim brotherhood operatives have infiltrated the federal government. >>> and a sign today that the northeast is slowly recovering from superstorm sandy. the national september 11th memorial at the world trade center site in new york city reopened today. it was cl
, nevada, wisconsin, new hampshire, and either north carolina or virginia. that's extremely doable. >> mike, what poll jumps out at you? >> "columbus dispatch," highly accurate, two points, margin of error, statistical poll, a mail-in poll, a better sample with a long tail. >> i've been hearing people saying they are tired. want this to be over. they are tired of the commercials. tired of the phone calls. tired of the coverage in some cases. will voter fatigue play into this, and if it does, who does it help and who does it hurt? >> i think romney has the intensity advantage, but my guess is a lot of people will grumble and vote. hell, i'm in the business and i'm tired but i'm going to vote. >> hillary? >> i was in florida a couple weeks ago and just the assault on simple tv watching is tremendous, but, you know, i actually think that something like hurricane sandy brings home to people in a very tragic but important way how important government is, and i think that matters and people will vote. >> real quickly, just both your answers to this. what are the chances wednesday morning american
hitting key battle ground and hitting them hard. we have wisconsin, nevada, colorado, ohio, florida, and new hampshire. romney with fewer stops planned to so far. the governor planning in virginia, wisconsin, ohio, new hampshire, and colorado as well. we want to bring in thursday's power panel. guys, it's good to have you here. alice, i want to start with you governor romney, as we mentioned, speaking moments ago. he wasn't holding back on his criticisms of the president. take a listen. >> he's got to find something to suggest it's going to be better over the next four years. so he came up with an idea next week, which is he's going to create the department of business. i don't think adding a new chair in his cabinet will help add millions of jobs. >> now that he's back officially on the campaign trail, mitt romney and any post-sandy chivalry is dead. is it risky for him to be doing this so soon in the wake of a disaster, especially in virginia, where they were under orders of sandy's presence coming their way? luckily, they were spared. >> governor romney showed tremendous compassi
will probably win nevada, and i agree with ann. it's very, very close in florida. i'm not ready to say that romney will win it, but it is very close. i still think -- you know i have been saying this for several weeks that the latino vote will give president obama more than an edge in places like florida and nav mav and colorado and arizona even possibly to be able to give him that win, but i do think, again, going into it, he has the lead in terms of the paths to get to 270 from an electoral standpoint, so i think the obama campaign is feeling very good right now. >> let me ask you about this, because the romney campaign is telling allies to sort of talk up the republican chances in democratic leaning states, forcing obama on defense is what they're trying to do. is this a strategy, do you think, that can work by just trying to send out that message? >> well, look, momentum and the image of momentum is important for both camps, and there's people who like to vote for the winner. they like to say on wednesday night, i voted for the guy on -- on wednesday morning, i voted for the guy wh
in in the states of nevada and colorado. 40% of the vote in iowa. almost 40% of the vote in the state of ohio have already voted right now. the president has been working at this for more than two years. governor romney modeling his ground game on the successful run of president george w. bush in 2004. they say it's bush on steroids. so it's hard to say who has the advantage, but both sides have invested a lot and got a lot out of it. >> secretary of state in ohio say they view the candidates as houseguests as they're eager for them to leave. later this morning george will host the final edition of "this week" before the election. make sure to watch that. and on tuesday night, george, diane sawyer and the entire abc news political team will be at our election headquarters in times square all night long, and it could be a long night with full coverage as the results come in. >> you can feel the excitement leading up to tuesday. >> you can. >> all right. but believe it or not, there are other headlines to tell you about and ron claiborne is here for that. good morning, ron. >> good morning, everyone
are michigan and nevada and new mexico. the reason i believe that is if you read the distorted media polls, most of them start off with a far too many democrats and far too few republicans. the latest pew survey has a national margin of 3 points for obama has 4 points more democrats than republicans. but the gallup poll which is the most authoritative last week concluded that there were now three points more republicans than democrats in the country. so it's d-4 and the reality is r-3. so it's a 7-points distortion. so if you are showing romney losing by 3 he's running by 4. if you take the finding in the pew poll that republicans are 6% more likely to turn out than democrats. so instead of it being plus 7, instead of switching to it a romney win by 4, you now have a romney win by 6 or 7. and then you take the undecided vote which always goes against the i am couple bent. you allocate it 2 to 1 for romney you are talking about a win of 7-10 points. if you go through each of the states you can do a similar calculation. i don't want to exaggerate by saying 5 or more. but i think you will be
state of nevada in mitt romney's column, and that's how you get it. it's not very implausible, and, yes, we know that right now the president seems like a favorite in nevada, and that's what makes this less likely than what most folks think, but between that and don't forget you've got congressional districts in nebraska and maine. the point is if you remember how we started this campaign which was the state of iowa decided by eight votes between rick santorum and mitt romney and then oh, by the way the results flipped two weeks later, i've always worried that that was foreshadowing this nightmare scenario. >> as you talk to us, chuck, i want to note that vice president biden is waiting in line to vote in delaware this morning. we'll keep an eye on that as you and i continue to talk. >> reporter: speaking of vice president biden. under this scenario and people are wondering if you don't get to 270, this would go to the house, so the house would elect the president. the senate would elect the vice president, so under this scenario your most likely outcome romney/biden. >> then we'll know
is that this is over, if not tonight, at least tomorrow morning. >> the western states will play key as well, nevada, colorado. we weren't talking about those states in 2000, 2004, there will be a difference as well. >> david frum wrote no voting system is perfect. but here's what doesn't happen in other democracies, politicians of one party do not set voting schedules to favor their side and harm the other. politicians do not move around voting places to gain advantages of themselves or to disadvantage -- in fact, in almost no other country do politicians have any say in the administration of the elections at all. >> i agree. >> i worry about who has control of that process. >> in no other country do we spend so much time. this has been a year and a half almost. it feels like a year and a half since the primaries. >> it feels like five. >> in no other country is there -- really in few other countries is there early voting, absentee balloting. all the opportunities there are to vote in this country. >> we still don't have such a high percent of participation. maybe we should rethink how we do it. >>
Search Results 0 to 39 of about 40 (some duplicates have been removed)